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4月1日开始，中国人民解放军东部战区组织陆军、海军、空军、火箭军等兵力，位台岛周边组织舰机多向抵近台岛，开展联合演训。对此，厦门大学台湾研究中心讲座教授郑剑在中国环球电视网（CGTN）发表题为《What's behind the PLA's exercises around Taiwan?》的专题文章。

文章指出，民进党当局误判形势，企图依靠外部势力谋求“台独”，但这种幻想已被大陆通过一系列坚决行动打破，每一次挑衅都会适得其反，自食恶果。文章认为，本次演训具有无预警、联合封锁与控制、更近距离、开放时间以及战备转换的特点，旨在捍卫国家主权和领土完整，不仅是对“台独”分裂势力的警告，也是对外部干涉势力的警示和震慑。文章强调，台湾是中国的一部分，坚决反对任何利用台湾问题干预中国内政、阻挠统一进程的图谋和行径，将粉碎一切利用台湾遏制中国发展的阴谋。

原文转载如下：

What's behind the PLA's exercises around Taiwan?

The Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) Eastern Theater Command conducts joint exercises around Taiwan island, April 1, 2025. /Xinhua

Editor's note: Zheng Jian, a special commentator for CGTN, is a professor at the Taiwan Research Institute of Xiamen University and the deputy director of the Study and Research Committee, China Council for the Promotion of Peaceful National Reunification. The article reflects the author's opinions and not necessarily the views of CGTN.

On April 1, the Eastern Theater Command of the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) launched joint military exercises around Taiwan Island without prior warning. Tactically, the move was indeed unannounced, but strategically, every exercise by the Eastern Theater Command serves as a warning.

As stated by the Ministry of National Defense spokesperson Wu Qian in early 2024, "the PLA will defend national sovereignty and territorial integrity with concrete actions." After Lai Qing-te's inauguration in May, Wu also warned that "every act of 'Taiwan independence' provocation will be met with escalating countermeasures."

However, Taiwan's Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) authorities remain obstinate. They miscalculate the situation, believing that the Chinese mainland will not respond unpredictably to their collusion with external forces to seek independence. They delude themselves into thinking that they will receive unconditional support from countries including the U.S. and that the public in Taiwan will remain blinded by their "anti-China" political manipulation.

Yet, the Chinese government, people and the PLA have already shattered these illusions through resolute and forceful actions, ensuring that every provocation by the DPP authorities and its ilk backfires.

Regarding the PLA's exercises and countermeasures in the Taiwan Straits, the DPP authorities, led by Lai Ching-te, have consistently misled the public, claiming that the drills are just temporary shows of force and that Taiwan can rely on U.S. support.

In reality, since Tsai Ing-wen took office in 2016–and even in the short time since Lai's inauguration–the Chinese mainland has systematically compressed the space for "Taiwan independence" through measures including circumnavigation patrols, combat readiness drills, the Joint Sword series of exercises, mid-March drills and the current military exercises around Taiwan. A series of targeted punitive actions against specific actors have effectively deterred and struck "Taiwan independence" forces and external interferers.

The Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) Eastern Theater Command released a cartoon that said "parasite courting ultimate destruction," April 1, 2025. /The Chinese PLA Eastern Theater Command

Compared to past actions, the Eastern Theater Command's current joint military exercises have distinctive features:

No prior warning: Taiwan's defense authorities had reported "normal" daily military activity in recent days, even claiming "no PLA aircraft near Taiwan" on March 30 and 31, with only naval vessels detected.

Joint blockade and control: Footage released by the Eastern Theater Command reveals that Taiwan's political, military and economic hubs were included in the blockade simulation, achieving partial real-world containment.

Closer proximity: The exercise emphasized "multi-directional, low-altitude approaches." How close are PLA warships and aircraft approaching? To what extent? Will Taiwan's authorities dare to disclose the details?

Open-ended timing: The operation announced a start date but no end date. This deliberate ambiguity is meant to keep "Taiwan independence" forces in perpetual fear, forcing them to face the consequences of their reckless actions. The PLA seems to be telling the Taiwan authorities: "Face the consequences. Don't say you weren't warned."

Drills-to-combat readiness: The PLA has long stated that its exercises include "transition from drills to combat" scenarios. This operation likely embodies that principle. Drills can shift to combat at any moment. If the DPP authorities persist in crying wolf, their arrogance will only hasten their demise.

Furthermore, this exercise serves as a warning to external forces that insist on playing the Taiwan card. Without misguided signals from external actors, Lai would not dare to act so provocatively; without Lai's attempts to drag external forces into the fray, interference would not persist so stubbornly.

As the Chinese people say: "Friends receive warm hospitality; jackals face hunting rifles." The Chinese people fear no ghosts, succumb to no coercion and will crush all schemes to use Taiwan to contain, drain or confront China.

The DPP authorities and Lai Ching-te should reflect on the words of the ancient Chinese philosopher Han Fei, a noted thinker and representative of the Legalist School in the Warring States Period (475 B.C.-221 B.C.): "A state that disrespects and insults its powerful neighbor, acts greedily and obstinately in diplomacy, is doomed to perish."

原文转载自CGTN

（整理：王学勤；编辑：王学勤；复核：徐语晴；责编：高群斐；编审：林晓培）